Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 3.416136 3.623070 3.844063 4.099058 4.387009 4.704345 5.083678
2025-05-04 3.218257 3.515521 3.851493 4.264870 4.767957 5.371942 6.171297
2025-05-11 3.019281 3.374887 3.795392 4.341465 5.051922 5.977727 7.340738
2025-05-18 2.822106 3.211667 3.689231 4.337864 5.232571 6.491389 8.558194
2025-05-25 2.605499 3.002401 3.501498 4.201931 5.212037 6.723704 9.454355
2025-06-01 2.455224 2.862622 3.387472 4.148010 5.295420 7.129608 10.831573
2025-06-08 2.334276 2.750073 3.297509 4.114511 5.401345 7.599520 12.615156
2025-06-15 2.247673 2.675395 3.250884 4.136072 5.595481 8.281156 15.428216
2025-06-22 2.136960 2.560285 3.137846 4.043964 5.584708 8.574132 17.563558
2025-06-29 2.024144 2.435582 3.002129 3.902859 5.467223 8.618874 19.039309
2025-07-06 1.939962 2.345811 2.910627 3.822599 5.446750 8.873262 21.738552
2025-07-13 1.913599 2.334744 2.932361 3.925556 5.781777 10.082264 32.042176
2025-07-20 1.872257 2.305326 2.932353 4.006794 6.124606 11.612750 58.454629
2025-07-27 1.843700 2.292800 2.957526 4.136441 6.610460 14.030224 284.583801
2025-08-03 1.799209 2.254333 2.939424 4.187684 6.945407 16.401856 NaN
2025-08-10 1.744048 2.196961 2.887037 4.169503 7.115674 18.420094 NaN
2025-08-17 1.670334 2.108239 2.778433 4.033152 6.958712 18.707132 NaN
2025-08-24 1.617262 2.048498 2.713843 3.976345 7.002383 20.289491 NaN
2025-08-31 1.572063 1.998697 2.662597 3.940626 7.097864 22.509468 NaN
2025-09-07 1.539403 1.966580 2.638707 3.957173 7.349475 26.755004 NaN
2025-09-14 1.491256 1.908473 2.567642 3.869915 7.273558 28.097497 NaN
2025-09-21 1.438463 1.841389 2.478367 3.738115 7.038277 27.437743 NaN
2025-09-28 1.398083 1.792425 2.418034 3.662895 6.969018 28.720650 NaN